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Performance investigation of a concentrating photovoltaic_thermal

Performance investigation of a concentrating photovoltaic_thermal
Performance investigation of a concentrating photovoltaic_thermal

Performance investigation of a concentrating photovoltaic/thermal system with transmissive Fresnel solar

concentrator

Chaoqing Feng a ,b ,Hongfei Zheng b ,?,Rui Wang c ,Xinglong Ma b

a

College of Energy and Power Engineering,Inner Mongolia University of Technology,Hohhot 010051,China b

School of Mechanical Engineering,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China c

Department of Building Science,School of Architecture,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China

a r t i c l e i n f o Article history:

Received 18November 2015Accepted 31December 2015

Available online 12January 2016Keywords:Solar energy

Transmissive concentrate Fresnel lens

Photovoltaic/thermal system

a b s t r a c t

A design method of a cycloidal transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator which can provide a certain width focal line was presented in this study.Based on the optical principle of refraction,the dimensions of each wedge-shaped element of Fresnel lens are calculated.An optical simulation has been done to obtain the optical ef?ciency of the concentrator for different tracking error and axial incidence angle.It has been found that about 80%of the incident sunlight can still be gathered by the absorber when the tracking error is within 0.7°.When the axial angle of incidence is within 10°,it almost has no in?uence to the receiving rate.The concentrating photovoltaic/thermal system with transmissive Fresnel solar concentra-tor has been designed in this paper.Take the gallium arsenide high concentrated battery as the receiver,experimental research about cylindrical Fresnel concentrating photovoltaic/thermal system is under-taken in the real sky.Main parameters are tested such as the temperature distribution on receiver,elec-tric energy and thermal energy outputs of concentrating photovoltaic/thermal system,the ef?ciency of multipurpose utilization of electric and heat,and so on.The test results in clear weather show that max-imum electric generating ef?ciency is about 18%at noon,the maximum heat receiving rate of cooling water is about 45%.At noon time (11:00–13:00),the total ef?ciency of thermal and electricity can reach more than 55%.Performance of this concentrating photovoltaic/thermal system with transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator is studied and compared in two types typical weather,hazy weather and clear weather,it can be known from results that hazy weather has great in?uence to electric generation ef?-ciency but it has less effect to heat ef?ciency of cooling water.

ó2016Elsevier Ltd.All rights reserved.

1.Introduction

Fresnel lens has many advantages such as simple structure,low cost,ease for manufacturing and mass production [1],and been widely used in concentrating photovoltaic systems.For example,Wu et al.[2]researched the characteristic of a 0.6mm thick alu-minium trough wall Fresnel lens PV Concentrator at different solar radiation intensities;Xie et al.[3]studied and compared the per-formance of a line-focus Fresnel lens solar collector using different cavity receivers.

Fresnel lens was invented in 1822by a French mathematician and physicist,Augustin Jean Fresnel [4].In 1970s,NASA made some detailed description about design method and transmittance of Fresnel lens,it guides researchers to the right direction.Gener-ally,base surface of Fresnel lens is ?at for easy manufacturing.A large amount of investigations about ?at Fresnel lens have been done by researchers [5,6].Yeh and Yeh [7]provided the informa-tion of illumination patterns under a circular lens,which will help to match up various spectrum distributions to their suitable solar applications.Nia et al.[8]used ?at Fresnel lens and thermoelectric module to concentrate solar beam and generate electrical power,the output power can reach 1.08W with 51.33%ef?ciency under radiation intensity of 705.9W/m 2.For the polygonal shapes ?at Fresnel lens,Neo et al.[9]presented an automated 4-axis ultra-precision machining technique for manufacturing an array of hexagonal Fresnel lenses,it can reduce the cost of manufacture.Widest possible acceptance angles,higher tolerances both in manufacturing and operation,less precise tracking,misalignment compensation are the parameters of non-imaging optics which makes it most ef?cient and best suitable for concentrated solar power technology [4].He et al.[10]did some research about a thermoelectric cooling and heating system driven by a heat pipe photovoltaic/thermal (PV/T)panel.The results shown that the

https://www.sodocs.net/doc/af6435609.html,/10.1016/j.enconman.2015.12.0860196-8904/ó2016Elsevier Ltd.All rights reserved.

?Corresponding author.

E-mail address:hongfeizh@https://www.sodocs.net/doc/af6435609.html, (H.Zheng).

average coef?cient of performance(COP)of thermoelectric module of this system can be about1.7,the electrical ef?ciency of the PV/T panel can reach16.7%,and the thermal ef?ciency of this system can reach23.5%.In order to improve the quality control of Fresnel lenses in scenarios of high volume production,Herrero et al.[11] presented a simple method called‘‘checkerboard method”is presented.

With the advances in the manufacturing process,curved surface Fresnel lens can be realized.For the concentrator systems,curved surface Fresnel lens has more advantage than the?at one [12,13].Thus,in recent years,many research about curved surface Fresnel lens have been done.In order to improve the optical ef?-ciency and uniformity of light spot,Gonzlez[14]designed a curved surface Fresnel lens with line focus.Yeh[15]did a study about an elliptical-based Fresnel lens concentrator system using optical geometry and ray tracing technique,this study identi?es that the optimum performance that occurs at the lenses with the focal ratio falls https://www.sodocs.net/doc/af6435609.html,ler and Kurtz[16]did a research about wavelength-speci?c optical performance of concentrated photovoltaic(CPV)systems,for refractive optical components, the sunlight transmittance for standard PMMA is about92%.Ryu et al.[17]designed a novel Fresnel lens and successfully solved the problem about un-uniform light intensity distribution on focus. Cui et al.[18]analyzed the optical performance of the Fresnel lens by the ray tracing method.In his study,the transmission ef?ciency and the dispersion spot deviation of the Fresnel lens with different relative aperture were?gured out and compared for incidence angle changes from0°to6°.Montes et al.[19]designed and eval-uated different achromatic Fresnel lens solutions capable of oper-ating as concentrators aimed at photovoltaic cells systems.It is found that chromatic dispersion is minimized and the ef?ciency rate is over85%of ef?ciency for a wide spectral range(from 350nm to1100nm).Pan and Huang[20]has designed a new kind of Fresnel lens which can increase the uniformity a lot and keep the acceptance angle within solar angle without second optical ele-ment and complicated theoretical approaches.It yields not only uniform concentration but also a high concentration ratio.Hui et al.[21]built an one dimensional steady heat transfer model of solar photovoltaic/thermal system.The thermal,electricity and exergy ef?ciency of six different structures were calculated and compared.Han et al.[22]presented a two-stage Fresnel lens with modular device and investigated its performance.Based on the analysis of rays passing through the wedge structure of the lens, the optical ef?ciency is obtained under different incidental angles. Zheng et al.[23]constructed a prototype cylindrical compound Fresnel concentrator and tested the solar energy use ef?ciency by vacuum tube to investigate its characteristics.

In addition,characteristics and performance of solar cells under high intensity have been studied in a large amount of investiga-tions[24–26],it is helpful to the research about PV cell application in the PVT system.

Concentrating photovoltaic/thermal(CPV/T)system with trans-missive Fresnel solar concentrator is designed in this paper.Take the gallium arsenide high concentrated photovoltaic cell as the receiver,experimental research about cylindrical compound Fres-nel CPV/T system is undertaken in the real sky.Main parameters are tested such as the temperature distribution on receiver,electric energy and thermal energy outputs of CPV/T system,the rate of multipurpose utilization of electric and heat,and so on.

2.Design method

The Fresnel lens with cycloidal outside surface have better capacity to resist climate factors and protect interior structure. The gravity center of Fresnel lens with cycloidal outside surface can be designed near to the axial and it can decreases the power consumption of tracking system.The working principle of this Fresnel lens can be described in Fig.1,and ignoring sun shape angle and considering the incidence sunlight parallel to the sym-metry line of the cycloidal Fresnel lens.

In order to simplify the design method,we should make some assumptions as follow:

(1)The thickest points of each wedge in concentrator are in the

same circle,it is inner circle in Fig.1,and each thinnest point is in the middle circle analogous.

(2)In the design process,light concentrate condition was con-

sidered only about the middle point of each wedge,if the middle points of wedge have good concentrating perfor-mance,it is believed that the whole wedge is well designed.

(3)Compare with the distance between incidence point and col-

lector,the thickness of wedge is very small and can be neglected.

From Fig.1that the outside circle equation is:

x2ty2?r2e1TIf neglecting the thickness of a wedge,one can get such geomet-rical relationship:

tg b%

x

rty

?x

rt

???????????????

r2àx2

pe2T

where x and y are the coordinates of the incident point.

Bottom straight line of wedge is CD,its equation is:y?k CD xtb, where k CD?tg c.

For the point Aex i;y iT,we can get the relationship that: tg b i?x i rty

i

,b i is the angle between straight line AC and axial y.Sim-ilarly,the angle between straight line ED and axial y is b it1,

tg b it1?x it1

rty it1

.

Next step is to get the angle c i,if we get it,the shape of wedge i can be determined.

Equation of is:y?rty i

x i

áxàr,so the coordinate of point B can be calculated as:

x B?

k i rà

??????????????????????????????????????????????????????

k2

i

r2àe1tk2iTe2rdàd2T

q

1tk

i

e3T

y

B

?k i x Bàr

k i?

rty

i

x i

Similarly,the coordinate of point C can be calculated as:

x C?

k i rà

???????????????????????????????????????????????????

k2

i

r2àe1tk2iTe2rlàl2T

q

1tk2

i

e4T

y

C

?k i x Càr

Form Eq.(1),it can be get the b:

b?arctg x

rt

???????????????

r2àx2

pe5T

As a matter of fact,it can be known from Fig.1that the refrac-tive index is:

n?

sinebtcT

sineatcT

e6T

where n is refractive index,atc and btc is the incidence and refraction angles on the lower side of wedge,respectively.When

402 C.Feng et al./Energy Conversion and Management111(2016)401–408

the b changed from 0°to 80°,the relationship between a and c is shown in Fig.2.

For the incidence point in the excircle,the refractive index n is:

n ?

sin i From the relationship that:

a tj ?i and tg i ?à

dy dx

For the excircle,dy

dx

?àx

y .So,i ?

arctg x

y ,

sin j ?

sin i

n

?

sin arctg x y eT?

n

,j ?arcsin sin arctg x y eT?

n

a ?i àj ?arctg x y

àarcsin

sin arctg x y

h i n

8

<:

9=;

;e7T

At this point,a ,b and refractive index n are all known,the c can

be calculated by Eq.(6).

For example,if we want to design a cycloidal Fresnel lens that the radius r is 0.5m,the maximum thickness l is 7mm and mini-mum thickness d is 2mm,refractive index n is 1.5.From Fig.1,the equation of outside circle,middle circle and inner circle can be obtained.The B 1point can be determined by the tangent line of middle circle.Connected the B 1point and the receiver to get a line,this line intersect with the middle circle and inner circle,then the point A 1(x 1,y 1)and C 1can be determined.Make an assumption that point A 1(x 1,y 1)is the design incidence point of ?rst wedge,so the a and b can be calculated by Eqs.(5)and (7).Finally,c can be calculated by Eq.(6)or determined by Fig.2.Base on the point C 1and c ,CD is determined and the coordinates of D 1and E 1can be got.The ?rst wedge design is ?nished so far.The other wedges can be designed similarly.3.Optical simulation study

Based on the design method of Fresnel lens with cycloidal out-side surface,the physical model is built.The diameter of the cylin-drical concentrator is 1m and the chord length of Fresnel lens is 0.64m.The maximum thickness l is 7mm and minimum thickness d is 2mm.

In order to analyze the concentrating performance of Fresnel lens with cycloidal outside surface,the path of light rays with different tracking error and different axial direction incidence angles are analyzed by the optical simulation software Light Tools.Assuming the incident light is parallel light,the Fresnel lens material is PMMA and it has high transparency,its refraction index is 1.5.

Fig.1.Fresnel lens with cycloidal outside surface.

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

β=80β=75β=70β=65β=60β=55β=50β=45β=40β=35β=30β=25β=20β=15β=10β=5

Fig.2.The relationship between

a and c at different

b .

3.1.Focal spot in?uenced by tracking error

The design process of transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator is based on the assumption that the relationship between incidence light and upper surface of receiver is vertical.But in the real condi-tion of application,more or less tracking error exist in the tracking system,it cannot make sure the vertical relationship between inci-dence light and upper surface of receiver every time.When the angle is exist between incidence light and symmetry axis of Fresnel lens,the concentrating performance of concentrator should be con-sidered by designer.The more sensitive to tracking error,the higher demand should be met by tracking https://www.sodocs.net/doc/af6435609.html,ing the high-precision tracking system will increase the cost and energy consumption.For the transmissive Fresnel concentrator,the sensi-bility of tracking error should be analyzed.

In order to analyze the concentrating performance of Fresnel lens,the physical model of cylindrical concentrator is built by CAD software and imported to LightTools for optical simulation analysis.LightTools is a set of optical modeling tools that allow you to set up,view,modify,and analyze optical systems graphi-cally.The theory of ray tracing is based on Monte Carlo theorem,which can trace the chosen number of rays from any interface of a light source [23].Other assumptions are given as follows,(1)All the incidence lights can penetrate the surface of Fresnel

lens and the absorptivity of Fresnel lens is zero.

(2)The sun shape angle is ignored and all incidence lights are

considered as parallel light.

(3)The solar spectrum distribution is ignored.The transparent

material used in Fresnel lens only has the average refractivity.In the simulation,the material of Fresnel lens is set as PMMA.The simulation result of light path with different tracking error (0–3°)is shown in Fig.3.

From Fig.3,it can be seen that Fresnel lens has good concentrat-ing performance if the tracking error is 0°.With the increase of tracking error,concentrated light spot gradually deviates away from receiver.When the tracking error is 1°,parts of incidence lights cannot converge to the receiver.The more tracking error is,the less light which can be received by collector are.All lights leave away from receiver when the tracking error is larger than 3°.

In order to analyze the relationship between light receiving rate and tracking error for cycloidal Fresnel lens,Fig.4is made.

It can be known that the light receiving rate can reach 100%when the tracking error within 0.5°.If the tracking error increases to 1°,the light receiving rate is about 65%;the tracking error increases to 2°,the light receiving rate is only about 35%.So,for the cycloidal transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator,if we want to make sure that the light receiving rate can be above 80%,the tracking error should be less than 0.7°.

3.2.Focal spot in?uenced by axial angle of incidence

The aforesaid analysis about tracking error is based on an assumption that the axial incidence angle is 0°.For a cycloidal Fres-nel lens,the focal line of the refracted rays will change with the axial incidence angle even when the transverse tracking error is 0°.Under an assumption that tracking error is 0°,a simulation is also conducted to evaluate the effect by changing the axial inci-dence angle and the results are shown in Fig.5.The axial incidence angle is changed with the scope of 0–35°.

It is can be seen from Fig.5that when the axial incidence angle increases,the refracted rays are more scattered around the receiver and the focus line move up gradually.However,when the axial incidence angle is within 15°,most of the incidence rays can still reach to receiver.If the axial incidence angle continues to increase,more and more refracted rays cannot be received by absorber.When the axial incidence angle increases to 35°,only a little refracted ray can be received.

In order to analyze the relationship between receiving rate,focal spot move up distance and axial incidence angler for cycloidal Fresnel lens,series optical simulations are done and the result is shown in Fig.6.

It can be known from Fig.6that the refracted rays can be all accepted by receiver if the axial incidence angle is within 10°.When the axial incidence angle is larger than 10°,receiving rate of receiver decreases with the approximate linear trend.When the axial incidence angle increases to 35°,receiving rate is only about 20%.The focal spot move up distance has been simulated with different axial incidence angle.The result shows that focal spot move up distance increases obviously with the increase of axial incidence angle.When the axial incidence angle is 10°,focal

Fig.3.Light path of Fresnel lens with different tracking error.

404 C.Feng et al./Energy Conversion and Management 111(2016)401–408

spot only move up about 20mm.But if the axial incidence angle reaches to 35°,focal spot only move up distance is larger than 250mm.This result can give the advice to the user in different area that how to set the position of cycloidal Fresnel lens to obtain the high receiving rate.

4.Experimental research of CPV/T system

The experiment system was built as Fig.7,it mainly consists of a transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator,gallium arsenide photo-voltaic cell,cooling water channel,K type thermocouples,temper-

ature collect recorder,an irradiatometer,a voltmeter (precision ±0.1mV),an ammeter (precision ±0.1mA),cooling water pump,water ?owmeter,and so forth.The parameters of transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator are as follows:radius 0.5m,chord length 0.64m,length in axial direction 0.5m.

The gallium arsenide photovoltaic cell is used in experiment,the photoelectricity ef?ciency is about 30%in lab.The picture of CPV/T system is shown in Figs.8and 9is the electric power test circuit diagram.

Test method:(1)Put the CPV/T system with transmissive Fres-nel solar concentrator on horizontal ground and make sure that the front edge of the axial is vertical with the south direction,in this condition,the axial incidence angle is 0°at noon.(2)Rotate the Fresnel solar concentrator around axis and tracking the sun light.The single axis tracking system is used which is only tracking the solar elevation angle,the tracking error of this system is 0.2°.

Two typical weather conditions are selected,the one is clear weather and another is light hazy weather.The test in clear weather was done in 2014-11-17.The beginning time of test is 10:00AM and it is stopped at 14:00PM.Test results are shown in Fig.10.

It can be seen from Fig.10that thermal and electric output characteristics of CPV/T system have same variation tendency with the solar irradiation,the test values of heating power and electric power are higher at noon and lower in the morning and afternoon.The heating power of this kind of CPV/T system is less sensitive to solar irradiation,between 11:00and 13:00,solar irradiation was changing within 925–1006W/m 2,but there is no obvious change about heating power.The electric power is more sensitive to solar irradiation,a smaller change of solar irradiation also can in?uence

Fig.5.Light path of Fresnel lens with different axial incidence angle.

10

15

20

25

30

35

receiving rate

focal spot move up distance

axial angle of incidence

50100150200

250

focal spot move up distance

C.Feng et al./Energy Conversion and Management 111(2016)401–408405

the output of electric power,so the solar irradiation curve matched well with electric power curve in Fig.10.At noon time with higher solar irradiation,the solar effective receiving area of CPV/T system is about 0.32m 2,so the total receiving power can reach about 330W,the highest electric power output is about 56W and the highest heat generating power is about 150W.

The test in light hazy weather was done in 2014-11-8.The beginning time of test is 9:40AM and it is stopped at 14:30PM.Test results are shown in Fig.11.

It can be known form Fig.11that between 11:00and 13:00,solar irradiation was changing within 925–1006W/m 2,it is lower than clear weather obviously.At noon time with higher solar irra-diation,the total receiving power can reach about 270W,the high-est electric power output is about 26W and the highest heat generating power is about https://www.sodocs.net/doc/af6435609.html,pare the test results in clear weather and hazy weather,it can be seen that highest solar irradi-ation decreased from 1028W/m 2to 850W/m 2,reduced by 17%.The highest electric power decreased from 57W to 26W,reduced by 56%and bigger than solar irradiation reduce rate.The highest heat generating power decreased from 150W to 120W,reduced by 20%and has the similar reduce rate with solar irradiation.

The above-mentioned comparison illustrate that solar irradia-tion decrease caused by hazy weather have small in?uence on heating power but have great in?uence on electric power of CPV/T system.With the decrease of solar irradiation,the reduce rate of electric power is much higher than solar irradiation.It is because that direct solar radiation has a low proportion of the total solar radiation in light hazy weather,direct solar irradiation value is only 473W/m 2when the total irradiation is 824W/m 2.But in the clear weather,a high proportion of the total solar radiation is direct solar radiation.Direct solar irradiation value can reach 750W/m 2when the total irradiation is 975W/m 2.Direct solar radiation is the main power source for the PV cell and it determine the electric power output characteristic of CPV/T system.Light hazy weather have great in?uences to power generation ef?ciency but it has less effect to heat ef?ciency of cooling water.5.Discussion

Based on the test results in the real sky,the comparison about heating,electric generating and total ef?ciency in two typical weathers has been done and is shown in Fig.12.

From the test results of ef?ciency in clear weather,it can be known that maximum power generating ef?ciency is about 18%at noon,the maximum heat receive rate is about 45%.At noon time (11:00–13:00),the total ef?ciency of thermal and electricity can reach more than 55%.In the light hazy weather,the maximum heat receive rate is about 40%but the maximum electric generating ef?-ciency is only about 10%.Hazy weather cause a obvious decline of electric generating ef?ciency.

The single axis tracking system is used which is only tracking the solar elevation angle.So at most times during real sky

experi-Fig.8.Experiment system in the real sky.

A

V

Connect with PV cell

Fig.9.PV/T system circuit diagram.

1000

Management 111(2016)401–408

ment,the axial incidence angle is not 0°.In order to determine the axial incidence angle at any time,the real solar time in experiment day should be calculated.

The outdoor experiments were conducted in Beijing,China (39°5104500N,116°1804900E).Clear weather test date is 2014-11-17,so the different between real solar time and local time can be calculated.In test day,the noon (12:00)time of real solar time is 12:01in local time,it means that the axial incidence angle is 0°when the local time is 12:01.Based on this relationship,the axial incidence angle in any time can be obtained.

Compare the test results of electric generating ef?ciency with simulation results of receiver receiving rate about different axial incidence angle,this comparison is shown in Fig.13.

Form the Fig.13,it can be seen that the test results of electric generating ef?ciency and simulation results of receiver receiving rate are matched well.The test results show that electric generat-ing ef?ciency has been maintained at higher level at noon time

C.Feng et al./Energy Conversion and Management 111(2016)401–408407

(11:00–13:00)and it is with little change about different solar irra-diation.But before11:00AM and after13:00PM,electric generat-ing ef?ciency makes a sharp decline.This phenomenon can be illustrated that:at noon time(11:00–13:00),the axial incidence angle is changed about fromà15°to+15°,from the simulation results about different axial incidence angle,it can be known that the receiving rate of refracted rays can reach about90%if the axial incidence angle is within15°,so relatively stable receiving rate of PV cell caused the small change of electric generating during noon time(11:00–13:00).Based on the simulation result of receiving rate with different axial incidence angle,it can be seen that when the axial incidence angle is larger than15°,receiving rate of recei-ver decreases rapidly.Before11:00AM or after13:00PM,electric generating ef?ciency makes a sharp decline and with the same ten-dency of receiving rate.

6.Conclusion

The dimensions of each wedge-shaped element of Fresnel lens are calculated and designed.Monte Carlo ray tracing method is used to simulate the performance of a CPV/T system with cycloidal transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator.The concentrating perfor-mances such as concentrating ef?ciency,sensibility of tracking error and in?uence by axial incidence angle are analyzed by optical simulation.Take the gallium arsenide high concentrated battery as the receiver,experimental research about cylindrical compound Fresnel CPV/T system is undertaken in the real sky.The test results in clear weather show that maximum power generating ef?ciency is about18%at noon,the maximum heat receive rate of cooling water is about45%.At noon time(11:00–13:00),the total ef?-ciency of thermal and electricity can reach more than55%.Perfor-mance of this CPV/T system with transmissive Fresnel solar concentrator is studied in two types typical weather,hazy weather and clear weather,it can be known from results that hazy weather has great in?uence to power generation ef?ciency but it has less effect to heat ef?ciency of cooling water.

Acknowledgement

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Founda-tion of China(No.U1261119).

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教育界的科技革命 如果让生活在年的人来到我们这个时代,他会辨认出我们当前课堂里发生的许多事情——那盛行的讲座、对操练的强调、从基础读本到每周的拼写测试在内的教学材料和教学活动。可能除了教堂以外,很少有机构像主管下一代正规教育的学校那样缺乏变化了。 让我们把上述一贯性与校园外孩子们的经历作一番比较吧。在现代社会,孩子们有机会接触广泛的媒体,而在早些年代这些媒体简直就是奇迹。来自过去的参观者一眼就能辨认出现在的课堂,但很难适应现今一个岁孩子的校外世界。 学校——如果不是一般意义上的教育界——天生是保守的机构。我会在很大程度上为这种保守的趋势辩护。但变化在我们的世界中是如此迅速而明确,学校不可能维持现状或仅仅做一些表面的改善而生存下去。的确,如果学校不迅速、彻底地变革,就有可能被其他较灵活的机构取代。 计算机的变革力 当今时代最重要的科技事件要数计算机的崛起。计算机已渗透到我们生活的诸多方面,从交通、电讯到娱乐等等。许多学校当然不能漠视这种趋势,于是也配备了计算机和网络。在某种程度上,这些科技辅助设施已被吸纳到校园生活中,尽管他们往往只是用一种更方便、更有效的模式教授旧课程。 然而,未来将以计算机为基础组织教学。计算机将在一定程度上允许针对个人的授课,这种授课形式以往只向有钱人提供。所有的学生都会得到符合自身需要的、适合自己学习方法和进度的课程设置,以及对先前所学材料、课程的成绩记录。 毫不夸张地说,计算机科技可将世界上所有的信息置于人们的指尖。这既是幸事又是灾难。我们再也无须花费很长时间查找某个出处或某个人——现在,信息的传递是瞬时的。不久,我们甚至无须键入指令,只需大声提出问题,计算机就会打印或说出答案,这样,人们就可实现即时的"文化脱盲"。 美中不足的是,因特网没有质量控制手段;"任何人都可以拨弄"。信息和虚假信息往往混杂在一起,现在还没有将网上十分普遍的被歪曲的事实和一派胡言与真实含义区分开来的可靠手段。要识别出真的、美的、好的信息,并挑出其中那些值得知晓的, 这对人们构成巨大的挑战。 对此也许有人会说,这个世界一直充斥着错误的信息。的确如此,但以前教育当局至少能选择他们中意的课本。而今天的形势则是每个人都拥有瞬时可得的数以百万计的信息源,这种情况是史无前例的。 教育的客户化 与以往的趋势不同,从授权机构获取证书可能会变得不再重要。每个人都能在模拟的环境中自学并展示个人才能。如果一个人能像早些时候那样"读法律",然后通过计算机模拟的实践考试展现自己的全部法律技能,为什么还要花万美元去上法学院呢?用类似的方法学开飞机或学做外科手术不同样可行吗? 在过去,大部分教育基本是职业性的:目的是确保个人在其年富力强的整个成人阶段能可靠地从事某项工作。现在,这种设想有了缺陷。很少有人会一生只从事一种职业;许多人都会频繁地从一个职位、公司或经济部门跳到另一个。 在经济中,这些新的、迅速变换的角色的激增使教育变得大为复杂。大部分老成持重的教师和家长对帮助青年一代应对这个会经常变换工作的世界缺乏经验。由于没有先例,青少年们只有自己为快速变化的"事业之路"和生活状况作准备。

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