ted中英文演讲视频.doc

ted中英文演讲视频

TED国际会议于1984年第一次召开，由里查德沃曼和哈里马克思共同创办，从1990年开始每年在美国加州的蒙特利举办一次，而如今也会选择其他城市每年举办一次。它邀请世界上的思想领袖与实干家来分享他们最热衷从事的事业。TED 由科技、娱乐以及设计三个英文单词首字母组成，这三个广泛的领域共同塑造着我们的未来。事实上，这场盛会涉及的领域还在不断扩展，展现着涉及几乎各个领域的各种见解。参加者们称它为超级大脑SPA 和四日游未来。大会观众往往是企业的CEO、科学家、创造者、慈善家等等，他们几乎和演讲嘉宾一样优秀。比尔克林顿、比尔盖茨、英国动物学家珍妮古道尔、美国建筑大师弗兰克盖里、歌手保罗西蒙、维珍品牌创始人理查德布兰森爵士、国际设计大师菲利普斯达克以及U2乐队主唱Bono都曾经担任过演讲嘉宾。TED环球会议是TED大会的子会议。2005年，第一届TED环球会议在英国召开。2007年，TED环球会议在坦桑尼亚召开。

从2006年起，TED演讲的视频被上传到网上。

创始人

克里斯安德森是TED演讲大会的创始人，他曾经说过曾经，知识经济中的人说，你要保护如黄金般的知识，这是你唯一的价值。但是，当全球都联系在一起时，游戏规则改变了，每个人都互相关联，一切都会快速发展。当知识传播出去后，会以最快速度到达全球各地，得到反馈，得以传播，而它的潜在价值是无形的。

2001年，安德森买下了TED会议，把这个会议变成非营利机构。每年举行一次大会，大会演讲做成视频放在互联网上，供全球观众免费分享。

对于自己的义举，安德森解释道：我是学哲学的，总是生活在自己的想法中。我之前就隐约地觉得，有很多好的想法如果能进行全球传播，是很好的事情。我当时有一点钱，很想做出

一些贡献。我发现，TED是很好的工具。

历史

参会的诺贝尔获奖者、类似比尔盖茨之类的大腕，往往和魔术师、杂技演员混在一起。

尽管每年有上万人申请参加TED，但只有1000人能得到邀请，他们要有好奇心、创造力，思维开放，有改造世界的热情，还要付得起7500美元一张的门票。

2001年，媒体大亨克里斯安德森买下了TED，他自称TED 的守护人，并将TED演讲者的领域从原先的技术、娱乐、设计三个领域扩展到了各行各业，邀请了科学家、哲学家、艺术家、探险家、心理学家、语言学家、宗教领袖、慈善家等人加入，致力于使TED成为超越会议性质的世界品牌。

在1984年的第一次TED大会上，有人带来了日后风靡全球的CD光盘，第一台苹果电脑也被带到了讲台上。今天，新版的MacbookAir让全世界无数的粉丝为之疯狂。

在改变世界的同时，TED自身也在26年后(至2010)由与会成员不过千人的晚宴，成长为每天50万人观看其视频的社区。自1990年起，参会的精英们每年三月相聚于美国加州长滩，享受这一场超级大脑SPA 。

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Ted中英对照演讲稿.

Ted中英对照演讲稿 大人能从小孩身上学到什么 Now, I want to start with a question: When was the last time you were called childish? For kids like me, being called childish can be a frequent occurrence. Every time we make irrational demands, exhibit irresponsible behavior, or display any other signs of being normal American citizens, we are called childish, which really bothers me. After all, take a look at these events: Imperialism and colonization, world wars, George W. Bush. Ask yourself: Who's responsible? Adults. 首先我要问大家一个问题：上一回别人说你幼稚是什么时候？像我这样的小孩，可能经常会被 人说成是幼稚。每一次我们提出不合理的要求，做出不负责任的行为，或者展现出有别于普通美 国公民的惯常行为之时，我们就被说成是幼稚。这让我很不服气。首先，让我们来回顾下这些事件：帝国主义和殖民主义，世界大战，小布什。请你们扪心自问下：这些该归咎于谁？是大人。 Now, what have kids done? Well, Anne Frank touched millions with her powerful account of the Holocaust, Ruby Bridges helped end segregation in the United States, and, most recently, Charlie Simpson helped to raise 120,000 pounds for Haiti on his little bike. So, as you can see evidenced by such examples, age has absolutely nothing to do with it. The traits the word childish addresses are seen so often in adults that we should abolish this age-discriminatory word when it comes to criticizing behavior associated with irresponsibility and irrational thinking. 而小孩呢，做了些什么？安妮·弗兰克(Anne Frank)对大屠杀强有力的叙述打动了数百万人的心。鲁比·布里奇斯为美国种族隔离的终结作出了贡献。另外，最近还有一个例子，查理·辛普 森（Charlie Simpson）骑自行车为海地募得 12万英镑。所以，这些例子证明了年龄与行为完 全没有关系。 "幼稚"这个词所对应的特点是常常可以从大人身上看到，由此我们在批评不负责 和非理性的相关行为时，应停止使用这个年龄歧视的词。 (Applause) Thank you. Then again, who's to say that certain types of irrational thinking aren't exactly what the world needs? Maybe you've had grand plans before, but stopped yourself, thinking: That's impossible or that costs too much or that won't

杨澜TED演讲：重塑中国的年轻一代(中英文对照)

杨澜TED演讲：重塑中国的年轻一代（中英文对照） The night before I was heading for Scotland, I was invited to host the final of “China’s Got Talent” show in Shanghai with the 80,000 live audience in the stadium. Guess who was the performing guest? Susan Boyle. And I told her, “I’m going to Scotland the next day.” She sang beautifully, and she even managed to say a few words in Chinese. [Chinese] So it’s not like “hello” or “thank you,” that ordinary stuff. It means “green onion for free.” Why did she say that? Because it was a li ne from our Chinese parallel Susan Boyle — a 50-some year-old woman, a vegetable vendor in Shanghai, who loves singing Western opera, but she didn’t understand any English or French or Italian, so she managed to fill in the lyrics with vegetable names in C hinese. (Laughter) And the last sentence of Nessun Dorma that she was singing in the stadium was “green onion for free.” So [as] Susan Boyle was saying that, 80,000 live audience sang together. That was hilarious. 来苏格兰（做TED讲演）的前夜，我被邀请去上海做”中国达人秀“决赛的评委。在装有八万现场观众的演播厅里，在台上的表演嘉宾居然是（来自苏格兰的，因参加英国达人秀走红的）苏珊大妈（Susan Boyle)。我告诉她，“我明天就要启程去苏格兰。” 她唱得很动听，还对观众说了几句中文，她并没有说简单的”你好“或者”谢谢“，她说的是——“送你葱”（Song Ni Cong)。为什么？这句话其实来源于中国版的“苏珊大妈”——一位五十岁的以卖菜为生，却对西方歌剧有出奇爱好的上海中年妇女（蔡洪平）。这位中国的苏珊大妈并不懂英文，法语或意大利文，所以她将歌剧中的词汇都换做中文中的蔬菜名，并且演唱出来。在她口中，歌剧《图兰朵》的最后一句便是“Song Ni Cong”。当真正的英国苏珊大妈唱出这一句“中文的”《图兰朵》时，全场的八万观众也一起高声歌唱，场面的确有些滑稽（hilarious)。 So I guess both Susan Boyle and this vegetable vendor in Shanghai belonged to otherness. They were the least expected to be successful in the business called entertainment, yet their courage and talent brought them through. And a show and a platform gave them the stage to realize their dreams. Well, being different is not that difficult. We are all different from different perspectives. But I think being different is good, because you present a different point of view. You may have the chance to make a difference. 我想Susan Boyle和这位上海的买菜农妇的确属于人群中的少数。她们是最不可能在演艺界成功的，而她们的勇气和才华让她们成功了，这个节目和舞台给予了她们一个实现个人梦想的机会。这样看来，与众不同好像没有那么难。从不同的方面审视，我们每个人都是不同的。但是我想，与众不同是一件好事，因为你代表了不一样的观点，你拥有了做改变的机会。 My generation has been very fortunate to witness and participate in the historic transformation of China that has made so many changes in the past 20, 30 years. I remember that in the year of 1990, when I was graduating from college, I was applying for a job in the sales department of the first five-star hotel in Beijing, Great

TED英语演讲稿

TED英语演讲稿 When you are a kid, you get asked this one particular question a lot, it really gets kind of annoying. What do you want to be when you grow up? Now, adults are hoping for answers like, I want to be an astronaut or I want to be a neurosurgeon, youre adults in your imaginations. Kids, theyre most likely to answer with pro-skateboarder, surfer or minecraft player. I asked my little brother, and he said, seriously dude, Im 10, I have no idea, probably a pro-skier, lets go get some ice cream. See, us kids are going to answer something were stoked on, what we think is cool, what we have experience with, and thats typically the opposite of what adults want to hear. But if you ask a little kid, sometimes youll get the best answer, something so simple, so obvious and really profound. When I grow up, I want to be happy. For me, when I grow up, I want to continue to be happy like I am now. Im stoked to be here at TedEx, I mean, Ive been watching Ted videos for as long as I can remember, but I never thought Id make it on the stage here so soon. I mean, I just became a teenager, and like most teenage boys, I spend most of my time wondering,

2016thomas suarez ted演讲稿中英文

2016thomas suarez ted演讲稿中英文 thomassuarez年纪12岁的他，制作iphoneApp的他被大家称之为小乔布斯，在TED上发表精彩演讲，讲述他的童年时代那些创作故事，下面是第一公文网小编整理的thomassuarezted演讲稿中英文 thomassuarezted演讲稿中英文 Helloeveryone，mynameisThomasSuarez. I'vealwayshadafascinationforcomputersandtechnology,andImadeafewappsfort heiphone,ipodTouch,andipad.I'dliketoshareacouplewithyoutoday. 我一直都对计算机与科技很入迷，我研制了一些适用于Iphone,iTouch以及ipad的应用。今天，我想与大家分享一些我研发出的应用。 MyfirstappwasauniquefortunetellercalledEarthFortunethatwoulddisplaydifferen tcolorsofearthdependingonwhatyourfortunewas.Myfavoriteandmostsuccessfulappi sBustinJieber,whichis—(Laughter)—whichi saJustinBieberWhac-A-Mole. 我最先研制出的应用是一个叫EarthFortune的运势测试器，它能根据你的运势呈现不同颜色的地球图形我个人最喜欢、也是最成功的应用叫BustinJieber它是一个---(笑声)它是一个贾斯汀·比伯攻击器(Whac-A-Mole原意为"打地鼠"游戏) IcreateditbecausealotofpeopleatschooldislikedJustinBieberalittlebit,soIdeci dedtomaketheapp. 在学校里，我的很多同学都不太喜欢贾斯汀·比伯，所以我决定开发这样一个应用。 SoIwenttoworkprogrammingit,andIreleaseditjustbeforetheholidaysin2016. 于是我就开始写这个程序，并且在2016年圣诞假期和新年来临之前发布了这个应用。 Alotofpeopleaskme,howdidImakethese?Alotoftimesit'sbecausethepersonwhoas kedthequestionwantstomakeanappalso. 很多人都问我，是怎样开发出这些应用的?很多情况下，那些问这个问题的人，其实也想开发应用。 Alotofkidsthesedaysliketoplaygames,butnowtheywanttomakethem,andit'sdiff icult,becausenotmanykidsknowwheretogotofindouthowtomakeaprogram. 如今，很多的孩子都喜欢玩游戏，但是，现在他们也想制作游戏。这是很困难的，因为

TED演讲稿-20岁光阴不再(中英互译)

When I was in my 20s, I saw my very first psychotherapy client. I was a Ph.D. student in clinical psychology at Berkeley. She was a 26-year-old woman named Alex. 记得见我第一位心理咨询顾客时,我才20多岁。当时我是Berkeley临床心理学在读博士生。我的第一位顾客是名叫Alex的女性,26岁。 Now Alex walked into her first session wearing jeans and a big slouchy top, and she dropped onto the couch in my office and kicked off her flats and told me she was there to talk about guy problems. Now when I heard this, I was so relieved. My classmate got an arsonist for her first client. (Laughter) And I got a twentysomething who wanted to talk about boys. This I thought I could handle. 第一次见面Alex穿着牛仔裤和宽松上衣走进来,她一下子栽进我办公室的沙 发上,踢掉脚上的平底鞋,跟我说她想谈谈男生的问题。当时我听到这个之后松了一口气。因为我同学的第一个顾客是纵火犯,而我的顾客却是一个20出头想谈谈男生的女孩。我觉得我可以搞定。But I didn't handle it. With the funny stories that Alex would bring to session, it was easy for me just to nod my head while we kicked the can down the road. 但是我没有搞定。Alex不断地讲有趣的事情,而我只能简单地点头认同她所 说的,很自然地就陷入了附和的状态。 "Thirty's the new 20," Alex would say, and as far as I could tell, she was right. Work happened later, marriage happened later, kids happened later, even death happened later. Twentysomethings like

ted演讲稿中英文对照

ted演讲稿中英文对照 小编今天推荐给大家的是 ted演讲稿中英文对照，仅供参考，希望对大家有用。关注网获得更多内容。 ted演讲稿中英文对照 Hi. I'm here to talk to you about the importance of praise, admiration and thank you, and having it be specific and genuine. 嗨。我在这里要和大家谈谈向别人表达赞美，倾佩和谢意的重要性。并使它们听来真诚，具体。 And the way I got interested in this was, I noticed in myself, when I was growing up, and until about a few years ago, that I would want to say thank you to someone, I would want to praise them, I would want to take in their praise of me and I'd just stop it. And I asked myself, why? I felt shy, I felt embarrassed. And then my question became, am I the only one who does this? So, I decided to investigate. 之所以我对此感兴趣是因为我从我自己的成长中注意到几年前，当我想要对某个人说声谢谢时，当我想要赞美他们时，当我想接受他们对我的赞扬，但我却没有说出口。我问我自己，这是为什么? 我感到害羞，我感到尴尬。接着我产生了一个问题难道我是唯一一个这么做的人吗?

杨澜TED演讲稿中英文

Yang Lan: The generation that's remaking China The night before I was heading for Scotland, I was invited to host the final of "China's Got Talent" show in Shanghai with the 80,000 live audience in the stadium. Guess who was the performing guest?Susan Boyle. And I told her, "I'm going to Scotland the next day." She sang beautifully, and she even managed to say a few words in Chinese. [Chinese]So it's not like "hello" or "thank you," that ordinary stuff. It means "green onion for free." Why did she say that? Because it was a line from our Chinese parallel Susan Boyle -- a 50-some year-old woman, a vegetable vendor in Shanghai, who loves singing Western opera, but she didn't understand any English or French or Italian, so she managed to fill in the lyrics with vegetable names in Chinese. (Laughter) And the last sentence of Nessun Dorma that she was singing in the stadium was "green onion for free." So [as] Susan Boyle was saying that, 80,000 live audience sang together. That was hilarious. So I guess both Susan Boyle and this vegetable vendor in Shanghai belonged to otherness. They were the least expected to be successful in the business called entertainment, yet their courage and talent brought them through. And a show and a platform gave them the stage to realize their dreams. Well, being different is not that difficult. We are all different from different perspectives. But I think being different is good, because you present a different point of view. You may have the chance to make a difference. My generation has been very fortunate to witness and participate in the historic transformation of China that has made so many changes in the past 20, 30 years. I remember that in the year of 1990,when I was graduating from college, I was applying for a job in the sales department of the first five-star hotel in Beijing, Great Wall Sheraton -- it's still there. So after being interrogated by this Japanese manager for a half an hour, he finally said, "So, Miss Yang, do you have any questions to ask me?"I summoned my courage and poise and said,"Yes, but could you let me know, what actually do you sell?" I didn't have a clue what a sales department was about in a five-star hotel. That was the first day I set my foot in a five-star hotel. Around the same time, I was going through an audition -- the first ever open audition by national television in China -- with another thousand college girls. The producer told us they were looking for some sweet, innocent and beautiful fresh face. So when it was my turn, I stood up and said, "Why [do] women's personalities on television always have to be beautiful, sweet, innocent and, you know, supportive? Why can't they have their own ideas and their own voice?" I thought I kind of offended them. But actually, they were impressed by my words. And so I was in the second round of competition, and then the third and the fourth. After seven rounds of competition, I was the last one to survive it. So I was on a national television prime-time show. And believe it or not, that was the first show on Chinese television that allowed its hosts to speak out of their own minds without reading an approved script. (Applause) And my weekly audience at that time was between 200 to 300 million people. Well after a few years, I decided to go to the U.S. and Columbia University to pursue my postgraduate studies, and then started my own media company, which was unthought of during the years that I started my career. So we do a lot of things. I've interviewed more than a thousand people in the past. And sometimes I have young people approaching me say, "Lan, you changed

ted演讲：如何成为一个更好的交谈者(中英对照)教学文稿

TED演讲：如何成为一个更好的交谈者？（中英对照） Celeste Headlee 是一个靠交谈吃饭的人，她的工作是电台主持人。在几十年的工作中，她学到了很多沟通技巧，同时也发现居然有如此多的人真的很不会聊天。 下面是她在TED 上分享的10 条提高谈话质量的方法。全是干货，来一起学习：【视频请在wifi情况下观看，文字为中英对照】如何成为一个更好的交谈者格鲁吉亚公共广播节目主持人：Celeste Headlee 首先，我想让大家举手示意一下，有多少人曾经在Facebook 上拉黑过好友，因为他们发表过关于政治，宗教，儿童权益，或者食物等不恰当的言论，有多少人至少有一个不想见的人，因为你就是不想和对方说话？ All right, I want to see a show of hands how many of you have unfriended someone on Facebook because they said something offensive about politics or religion, childcare, food? And how many of you know at least one person that you avoid because you just don’t want to talk to them? 要知道，在过去想要一段礼貌的交谈我们只要遵循亨利﹒希金斯在《窈窕淑女》中的忠告，只谈论天气和你的健康状况就行了。但这些年随着气候变化以及反对疫苗运动的开展——这招不怎么管用了。

因此，在我们生活的这个世界，这个每一次交谈都有可能发展为争论的世界，政客无法彼此交谈。甚至为那些鸡毛蒜皮的事情，都有人群情绪激昂地赞成或者反对，这太不正常了。皮尤研究中心对一万名美国成年人做了一次调查，发现此刻我们的偏激程度，我们立场鲜明的程度，比历史上任何时期都要高。 You know, it used to be that in order to have a polite conversation, we just had to follow the advice of Henry Higgins in “My Fair Lady”: Stick to the weather and your health. But these days, with climate change and anti-vaxxing, those subjects—are not safe either. So this world that we live in, this world in which every conversation has the potential to devolve into an argument, where our politicians can’t speak to one another, and where even the most trivial of issues have someone fighting both passionately for it and against it, it’s not normal. Pew Research did a study of 10,000 American adults, and they found that at this moment, we are more polarized; we are more divided than we ever have been in history. 我们更不倾向于妥协，这意味着我们没有倾听彼此。我们做的各种决定，选择生活在何处，与谁结婚甚至和谁交朋友，都只基于我们已有的信念。再重复一遍，这只说明我们没有

ted英语演讲稿

ted英语演讲稿 【篇一：你不必沉迷英语 ted演讲稿】 i know what youre thinking. you think ive lost my way, and somebodys going to come on the stage in a minute and guide me gently back to my seat. (applause) i get that all the time in dubai. here on holiday are you, dear? (laughter) come to visit the children? how long are you staying? 我知道你们在想什么，你们觉得我迷路了，马上就会有人走上台温 和地把我带回我的座位上。（掌声）。我在迪拜总会遇上这种事。“来这里度假的吗，亲爱的？”（笑声）“来探望孩子的吗？这次要待 多久呢？ well actually, i hope for a while longer yet. i have been living and teaching in the gulf for over 30 years. (applause) and in that time, i have seen a lot of changes. now that statistic is quite shocking. and i want to talk to you today about language loss and the globalization of english. i want to tell you about my friend who was teaching english to adults in abu dhabi. and one fine day, she decided to take them into the garden to teach them some nature vocabulary. but it was she who ended up learning all the arabic words for the local plants, as well as their uses -- medicinal uses, cosmetics, cooking, herbal. how did those students get all that knowledge? of course, from their grandparents and even their great-grandparents. its not necessary to tell you how important it is to be able to communicate across generations. 恩，事实上，我希望能再待久一点。我在波斯湾这边生活和教书已 经超过30年了。（掌声）这段时间里，我看到了很多变化。现在这 份数据是挺吓人的，而我今天要和你们说的是有关语言的消失和英 语的全球化。我想和你们谈谈我的朋友，她在阿布达比教成人英语。在一个晴朗的日子里，她决定带她的学生到花园去教他们一些大自 然的词汇。但最后却变成是她在学习所有当地植物在阿拉伯语中是 怎么说的。还有这些植物是如何被用作药材，化妆品，烹饪，香草。这些学生是怎么得到这些知识的呢？当然是从他们的祖父母，甚至 曾祖父母那里得来的。不需要我来告诉你们能够跨代沟通是多么重要。

TED中文演讲稿

我知道你们在想什么，你们觉得我迷路了，马上就会有人走上台温和地把我带回我的座 位上。（掌声）。我在迪拜总会遇上这种事。“来这里度假的吗，亲爱的？”（笑声）“来探望孩 子的吗？这次要待多久呢？ 恩，事实上，我希望能再待久一点。我在波斯湾这边生活和教书已经超过30年了。（掌 声）这段时间里，我看到了很多变化。现在这份数据是挺吓人的，而我今天要和你们说的是 有关语言的消失和英语的全球化。我想和你们谈谈我的朋友，她在阿布达比教成人英语。在 一个晴朗的日子里，她决定带她的学生到花园去教他们一些大自然的词汇。但最后却变成是 她在学习所有当地植物在阿拉伯语中是怎么说的。还有这些植物是如何被用作药材，化妆品， 烹饪，香草。这些学生是怎么得到这些知识的呢？当然是从他们的祖父母，甚至曾祖父母那 里得来的。不需要我来告诉你们能够跨代沟通是多么重要。 but sadly, today, languages are dying at an unprecedented rate. a language dies every 14 days. now, at the same time, english is the undisputed global language. could there be a connection? well i dont know. but i do know that ive seen a lot of changes. when i first came out to the gulf, i came to kuwait in the days when it was still a hardship post. actually, not that long ago. that is a little bit too early. but nevertheless, i was recruited by the british council along with about 25 other teachers. and we were the first non-muslims to teach in the state schools there in kuwait. we were brought to teach english because the government wanted to modernize the country and empower the citizens through education. and of course, the u.k. benefited from some of that lovely oil wealth. 但遗憾的是，今天很多语言正在 以前所未有的速度消失。每14天就有一种语言消失，而与此同时，英语却无庸置疑地成为全 球性的语言。这其中有关联吗？我不知道。但我知道的是，我见证过许多改变。初次来到海 湾地区时，我去了科威特。当时教英文仍然是个困难的工作。其实，没有那么久啦，这有点 太久以前了。总之，我和其他25位老师一起被英国文化协会聘用。我们是第一批非穆斯林的 老师，在科威特的国立学校任教。我们被派到那里教英语，是因为当地政府希望国家可以现 代化并透过教育提升公民的水平。当然，英国也能得到些好处，产油国可是很有钱的。 okay. now this is the major change that ive seen -- how teaching english has morphed from being a mutually english-speaking nation on earth. and why not? after all, the best education -- according to the latest world university rankings -- is to be found in the universities of the u.k. and the u.s. so everybody wants to have an english education, naturally. but if youre not a native speaker, you have to pass a test. 言归正传，我见过最大的改变，就是英语教学的蜕变如何从一个互惠互利的行为变成今 天这种大规模的国际产业。英语不再是学校课程里的外语学科，也不再只是英国的专利。英 语（教学）已经成为所有英语系国家追逐的潮流。何乐而不为呢？毕竟，最好的教育来自于 最好的大学，而根据最新的世界大学排名，那些名列前茅的都是英国和美国的大学。所以自 然每个人都想接受英语教育，但如果你不是以英文为母语，你就要通过考试。 now can it be right to reject a student on linguistic ability well, i dont think so. we english teachers reject them all the time. we put a stop sign, and we stop them in their tracks. they cant pursue their dream any longer, till they get english. now let me put it this way, if i met a dutch speaker who had the cure for cancer, would i stop him from entering my british university? i dont think so. but indeed, that is exactly what we do. we english

TED演讲—Martin Jacques《了解中国的崛起》(中英对照)

Martin Jacques: Understanding the rise of China The world is changing with really remarkable speed. If you look at the chart at the top here, you’ll see that in 2025 these Goldman Sachs projections suggest that the Chinese economy will be almost the same size as the American economy. And if you look at the chart for 2050, it’s projected that the Chinese economy will be twice the size of the American economy, and the Indian economy will be almost the same size as the American economy. We should bear in mind here these projections were drawn up before the Western financial crises. 世界正在以惊人的速度飞快得改变着。如果你看着这上方的图表,你会看到在2025年，高盛投资公司的这些预测表明中国经济规模会和美国经济几乎相当。如果看2050年的图表，预测表明中国经济规模将会是美国经济的两倍，印度的经济规模将会和美国的经济几乎持平。在这里，我们应该记住这些预测是在西方经济危机之前做出的。 A couple of weeks ago, I was looking at the latest projection by BNP (Banque Nationale de Paris) PARIBAS for when China will have a larger economy than the United States. Goldman Sachs projected 2027. The post-crisis projection is 2010. That’s just a decade way. 几周前，我查看法国巴黎银行的最近预测，中国在什么时候会超越美国经济，成为第一大经济体。高盛投资公司预测2027年。危机过后的预测是2020年。这也不过只有10年的光景。 China is going to change the world in two fundamental respects. First of all, it's a huge developing country with a population of 1.3 billion people, which has been growing for over 30 years at around 10% a year. And within a decade it will have the largest economy in the world. Never before in the modern era has the largest economy in the world been that of a developing country, rather than a developed country. 中国将在两个基本方面上改变世界。首先，中国是一个幅员广大的发展中国家它有13亿人口，在过去30年间它以每年10%左右的经济增长率发展。在未来10年间，它会有世界上最大的经济体。在世界现代史中，以前从来都是发达国家还没有一个发展中的国家变成了世界上最大的经济体。 Secondly, for the first time in the modern era, the dominant country in the world which I think is China will become, will be not from the West, and from very very different civilizational roots. 第二，在现代史中第一次在世界上，我认为中国会变成大国，它有别于西方国家而它是从非常，非常不同的文明根源发展起的大国。 Now I know it’s a widespread assumption in the West that as countries modernize, they also Westernize. This is an illusion. It’s an assumption that modernity is a product simply of competition markets and technology. It is not; it is also shaped equally by history and culture. China is not like the West, and it will not become like the West. It will remain in very fundamental respects very different. Now the big question here is obviously, how do we make sense of China? How do we try to understand what China is? And the problem we have in the West at the moment by-and-large is that the conventional approach is